It is doubtless a positive to see that the Sinclair, Inc. (NASDAQ:SBGI) share price has gained some 30% in the last three months. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 54% in that half decade.
It’s worthwhile assessing if the company’s economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let’s do just that.
Check out our latest analysis for Sinclair
Because Sinclair made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.
In the last five years Sinclair saw its revenue shrink by 7.4% per year. That’s not what investors generally want to see. With neither profit nor revenue growth, the loss of 9% per year doesn’t really surprise us. We don’t think anyone is rushing to buy this stock. Not that many investors like to invest in companies that are losing money and not growing revenue.
The company’s revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
This free interactive report on Sinclair’s balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It’s fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Sinclair, it has a TSR of -42% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
Sinclair provided a TSR of 39% over the year (including dividends). That’s fairly close to the broader market return. To take a positive view, the gain is pleasing, and it sure beats annualized TSR loss of 7%, which was endured over half a decade. While ‘turnarounds seldom turn’ there are green shoots for Sinclair. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sinclair better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Sinclair is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant…
