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    Home » Stocks Drop as Traders Brace for Trump’s US Agenda: Markets Wrap
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    Stocks Drop as Traders Brace for Trump’s US Agenda: Markets Wrap

    userBy userNovember 12, 2024No Comments4 Mins Read
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    (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks fell to the lowest level in almost two months on concerns US President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs and picks for key administration positions may stoke inflation.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    Equity benchmarks in Japan and Australia retreated, with a regional gauge dropping to the weakest level since Sept. 19. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady ahead of a report on US consumer-price inflation, while the yen approached the key level of 155.

    Treasury 10-year yields were little changed after surging 12 basis points on Tuesday. Traders are now pricing in about two US rate cuts through June, against almost four seen at the start of last week. US stock futures slipped.

    Sentiment toward Asian equities has taken a cautious turn since Trump’s election, as traders expect his planned policies to further drive up inflation and slow the pace of interest-rate cuts. The president-elect’s picks for key government posts are also fueling jitters, as he stocks his Cabinet with people he wants to carry out his “America First” policies on the border, trade, national security and economy.

    “While focus remains on Trump 2.0, there has been a slight tilt toward tariff fears which are overpowering the expectations of tax cuts given the announcements of China hawks being elevated to key positions in Trump’s cabinets,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Markets.

    Meanwhile, China indicated its discomfort with yuan weakness through its daily reference rate for the currency amid the threat of higher US tariffs under a Trump administration. The fixing was 445 pips stronger than the average estimate in a Bloomberg survey.

    Beijing started marketing dollar bonds in Saudi Arabia, marking the country’s first debt sale in the US currency since 2021.

    Traders are betting on further losses in Treasuries in anticipation that Trump’s planned policies will rekindle inflation and keep US interest rates high. Open interest, an indication of futures traders’ positioning in the bond market, rose for a fourth straight session in the two-year note contract, data released Tuesday show.

    On the economic front, US data due Wednesday may reinforce concerns about an acceleration in inflation, with analysts predicting that the overall consumer price index probably increased 0.2% for a fourth month.

    Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday said he’ll be watching the inflation data closely to determine whether another interest-rate cut is appropriate at the US central bank’s December meeting.

    Bitcoin slipped after a chartbusting rally took the digital asset to almost $90,000 for the first time. Meanwhile, Trump said Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy will lead the Department of Government Efficiency.

    In corporate news, Seven & i Holdings Co. is said to be considering a management buyout to take itself private with funding from banks, Itochu Corp. and the founding Ito family in a transaction that could be worth ¥9 trillion ($58 billion).

    In the commodities market, oil steadied neared its lowest level this month, with the outlook for demand in focus after OPEC cut projections again on China’s slowdown. Gold edged higher.

    Key events this week:

    • Eurozone industrial production, Wednesday

    • US CPI, Wednesday

    • Fed speakers include Jeffrey Schmid, Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari and Alberto Musalem, Wednesday

    • Eurozone GDP, Thursday

    • US PPI, jobless claims, Thursday

    • Walt Disney earnings, Thursday

    • Fed speakers include Jerome Powell, John Williams and Adriana Kugler, Thursday

    • China retail sales, industrial production, Friday

    • US retail sales, Empire manufacturing, industrial production, Friday

    Some of the main moves in markets:

    Stocks

    • S&P 500 futures were little changed as of 12:40 p.m. Tokyo time

    • Japan’s Topix fell 1%

    • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.9%

    • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.5%

    • The Shanghai Composite was little changed

    • Euro Stoxx 50 futures were unchanged

    Currencies

    • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed

    • The euro was little changed at $1.0622

    • The Japanese yen fell 0.1% to 154.79 per dollar

    • The offshore yuan rose 0.1% to 7.2331 per dollar

    Cryptocurrencies

    • Bitcoin fell 0.9% to $87,481.98

    • Ether fell 1.6% to $3,229.03

    Bonds

    • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.43%

    • Japan’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 1.035%

    • Australia’s 10-year yield advanced 12 basis points to 4.68%

    Commodities

    • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.4% to $68.38 a barrel

    • Spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,608.18 an ounce

    This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

    –With assistance from Rita Nazareth and Rob Verdonck.

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

    ©2024 Bloomberg L.P.



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