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    Home » Is Weakness In Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ:ODFL) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?
    NASDAQ News

    Is Weakness In Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ:ODFL) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

    userBy userJanuary 2, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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    Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:ODFL) has had a rough month with its share price down 20%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Old Dominion Freight Line’s ROE.

    Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

    See our latest analysis for Old Dominion Freight Line

    The formula for return on equity is:

    Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

    So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Old Dominion Freight Line is:

    30% = US$1.2b ÷ US$4.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

    The ‘return’ refers to a company’s earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders’ capital it has, the company made $0.30 in profit.

    We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.

    To begin with, Old Dominion Freight Line has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 15% the company’s ROE is quite impressive. This likely paved the way for the modest 17% net income growth seen by Old Dominion Freight Line over the past five years.

    As a next step, we compared Old Dominion Freight Line’s net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 9.0%.

    NasdaqGS:ODFL Past Earnings Growth December 30th 2024

    Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you’re wondering about Old Dominion Freight Line’s’s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

    In Old Dominion Freight Line’s case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 11% (or a retention ratio of 89%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

    Besides, Old Dominion Freight Line has been paying dividends over a period of eight years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 22% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company’s ROE is not expected to change by much.

    Overall, we are quite pleased with Old Dominion Freight Line’s performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



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