Disseminated on behalf of SolarBank Corporation
The US solar industry began 2025 with mixed signals. Wood Mackenzie’s US Solar Market Insight Q2 2025 reported an addition of 10.8 gigawatts-direct current (GWdc) in Q1. This marks a 7% drop from last year and a steep 43% fall from Q4 2024. Rising costs, trade tensions, and changing policies have strained project development and consumer demand.
Let’s study the various segments of solar and their performance in this quarter.
Utility-Scale Solar Slows Down but Stays Resilient
Utility-scale solar added 9 GWdc, slightly down from the previous quarter and Q1 2024. Still, it remained a strong segment. Texas led with 2.7 GWdc, nearly double Florida’s numbers. Both states focused heavily on large-scale solar projects. Notably, Texas, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, and California made up 65% of utility-scale additions.
Mixed Results Across Distributed Solar Segments
Residential solar struggled, adding only 1,106 MWdc – the lowest since Q3 2021. High interest rates, economic concerns, and uncertainty about solar tax credits held back homeowners. California topped the list with 255 MWdc installed, but this was the weakest output since Q3 2020.
On a positive note, commercial solar grew by 4% year-over-year to 486 MWdc, mainly due to California’s NEM 2.0 projects. However, it saw a seasonal dip of 28% compared to Q4 2024.
Community Solar Faces Headwinds but Holds Promise
Community solar projects, which are shared local installations, added 244 MWdc in Q1 2025. This was a sharp 22% year-over-year decline and a significant drop from Q4 2024’s surge. Maine and Massachusetts saw steep declines, while New York’s output fell slightly but still represented over half of the national community solar market.
Despite this downturn, installed capacity in 2025 is expected to exceed 2023 levels, reaching about 1.5 GWdc. New York and Illinois drive growth, with a community solar pipeline nearing 5 GWdc. However, grid interconnection delays and needed infrastructure upgrades slow progress.
Encouragingly, emerging markets may expand. Proposed legislation in several states could unlock over 1.5 GWdc of extra community solar capacity. Still, without new programs, national growth might stall. Wood Mac predicts a 6% average annual decline in community solar through 2030, but future legislative successes could change that.
Amid this uncertainty, SolarBank has remained resilient. The company recently announced a 2.4 MWdc community solar project in Nova Scotia.
SolarBank’s (SUUN) Nova Scotia Project Reflects Market Momentum
SolarBank Corporation (NASDAQ: SUUN) is going forward. The company recently announced the 2.4 MWdc Sydney Project in Nova Scotia, which will produce about 2,730 MWh of clean energy annually. It can potentially power 221 homes and offset nearly 1,900 tons of CO₂. The ground-mounted community solar power project, owned by AI Renewable Flow-Through Fund (“AI Renewable”), is a major step into Canada’s clean energy market.
The news lifted SolarBank’s stock (NASDAQ:SUUN) to $1.82 on June 16, up from $1.415 on June 13. The strong investor response highlights ongoing interest in clean energy opportunities (including those in jurisdictions outside the United States where government support remains strong), even as the broader market weathers policy and economic uncertainty.
SolarBank has developed over 100 MW of renewable energy projects in North America and has a pipeline of more than 1 gigawatt.
- In the U.S., the company completed over 50 MW of community solar installations. Now, it applies that experience to the Canadian market, where demand for clean energy is rising and government support is growing.
SolarBank North American Growth Strategy
Its portfolio includes community solar, utility-scale systems, virtual net metering projects, and behind-the-meter installations. This variety keeps the company agile, maximizes returns, and fosters low-risk, high-reward partnerships.
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How Shifting Trade Policy Is Disrupting US Solar Growth?
The US solar market is facing a tough trade and tariff environment in 2025. Earlier this year, the Trump administration added a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico starting March 4. While most solar panels aren’t imported from these countries, key parts like inverters and trackers are, which has pushed up production costs.
On top of that, aluminum tariffs under Section 232 increased from 10% to 25%, and later to 50% by June, making trackers and module frames even more expensive.
Tariffs on Chinese goods also soared, reaching 145% at one point due to fentanyl-related measures, before settling at 30% after a rollback deal on May 12. These changes have made the solar market more expensive and unpredictable.
- The US added 8.6 GW of new solar module manufacturing capacity in Q1 2025, bringing the total to 51 GW.
Upstream production remains sluggish. Only one new domestic cell plant, i.e., ES Foundry’s 1 GW facility in South Carolina, opened this year. There were no new launches in wafer or polysilicon production.
However, in these turbulent times, SolarBank has shown resilience. A recent collaboration with Qcells, involving the use of U.S.-manufactured solar modules, is one example of how the company is preparing for multiple future scenarios.
Why Investors Are Watching Closely?
Despite the hurdles, the US solar industry remains a key player in the country’s energy transition. In Q1 2025, solar accounted for 69% of all new power capacity added, showing its continued dominance. With long-term demand rising from data centers and domestic manufacturing, the sector’s growth potential remains strong.
To keep that momentum, the industry will need stable policies, steady investment, and better solutions for grid connections and supply chain issues.
The recent rebound in NASDAQ:SUUN stock reflects growing investor confidence. It signifies that SolarBank can be a potential long-term bet. While near-term challenges exist, the outlook for solar remains promising, and smart investors are taking note.
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