Dividend stocks are reliable, consistent generators of cash flow that pay much more income than the average stock and are generally considered conservative, solid investments.
However, if you invested in only dividend stocks in 2024, your portfolio likely greatly underperformed the broad S&P 500 stock market index. In fact, the S&P 500 more than tripled the return of the S&P Dividend Aristocrats Index, posting a 23% gain versus just 6.72% for the dividend index.
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So why would an investor want to own shares of this underperforming index in 2025? Read on to find out.
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After the S&P 500 gaining more than 20% for back-to-back years, there’s no denying that it is fully valued. Its current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is more than 30, which is very high on a historical basis.
Technology stocks, which are the single biggest contributor to S&P 500 returns, are even more fully valued, trading at about 38 times earnings. Meanwhile, healthcare stocks, financials and utilities — which are more value-oriented, dividend-paying sectors of the market — sport a much more reasonable P/E of 18, per Zacks Investment Management.
According to BMO Capital, stocks generally underperform in the third year of a bull market, at least when compared with the first two years. This may prove particularly true in 2025, after such a strong market rally in 2023 and 2024.
In 2025, some investors might choose to cash in on some of their gains over the past two years and reallocate that money into underperforming sectors, like dividend stocks.
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Interest rates were pushed higher in 2023 as the Fed fought its battle with inflation, but that’s a war that seems to be over. Inflation has fallen to levels near the Fed’s 2% annual target, triggering cuts to the federal funds rate that are anticipated to continue in 2025.
Why does this matter? In a falling interest rate environment, investments that pay higher yields draw more investor attention. When a government-backed investment like a Treasury bill pays a 4% yield, a stock with a 3% dividend yield might not be attractive to income-oriented investors. But if rates on T-bills fall to, say, 1%, then a 3%-yielding dividend suddenly translates to triple the income while still offering the potential for capital appreciation.